Since elections are at the heart of modern democracy, polling companies are interested in predicting results to determine the future political climate. Polls are not flawless, no matter how well they are conducted, there will always be uncertainty. This election essay will analyze election data from the French presidential race and the factors that are taken into account when making predictions. First, we will discuss why it is difficult to conduct accurate polls and how they impact voter turnout. Secondly, the document will evaluate Macron's presidency and the change in Marine Le Pen's image compared to the previous elections. Third, it will analyze the electorate of both candidates and their main characteristics. Finally, it will examine POLITICO's pre-election polling and the impact of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. Say no to plagiarism. Get a tailor-made essay on "Why Violent Video Games Shouldn't Be Banned"? Get an Original Essay The accuracy of surveys depends on how representative the sample of people responding to the survey is of the electorate in terms of age, gender, education, and social class. Some people would make a last-minute decision or hide their voting intentions if they supported a controversial figure. It is suggested that some people like to vote for winners; therefore, campaign organizations could exploit it to promote their own politically challenging agendas. Evidence suggests that voters' perceptions of when an election is approaching can influence voter turnout, because people may believe the prediction is a foregone conclusion. It could marginalize candidates who have less support, suggesting that they have already lost and that the vote would be wasted. Otherwise, if voters believe the election is difficult, turnout could increase and reverse the expected outcome. Former Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron became the youngest president in French history in 2017, defeating National Front leader Marine Le Pen and reaching 66.1% support against her 33.9%. percent. Macron encountered challenges during his presidency, when chaos caused by mass strikes over pension reform and the yellow vest crisis over fuel tax increases hit in late 2018. Then the Covid-19 pandemic began and Macron has promised to protect the French economy from the consequences of the pandemic. harm. Some election forecasts focus on economic variables and analyze how strong the incumbent's position is based on the economy, social climate, and foreign and military affairs. They would also consider how charismatic the current president is and how he compares to his opponents; also, whether he has been involved in any major scandals during his presidency that could affect his popularity. Fundamental-based projections tend to be quite accurate when determining support for the incumbent president. Far-right leader Marine Le Pen was expected to join Macron in the second round, just like in the 2017 elections. Marine Le Pen focused her campaign on immigration and security and cleverly exploited the cost of living issue. He tried to soften his party's image and abandoned the idea of ​​taking France out of the European Union, the Schengen area and the eurozone. It helped create a more moderate image for her than Ric Zemmour. His strategy to bring his party into the political mainstream has been and remains highly successful.